Navigating the Tempest
By Sharon Allen, CFP®, CTFA and Daly Andersson, CFA, CFP®
You’re caught driving in the middle of a ferocious storm. The windshield wipers are moving at a frenetic pace allowing you just a glimpse at the road ahead. You move slowly and intentionally forward, though it’s hard to even see the lines on the road alerting you to when you begin to veer out of your lane. White-knuckled, you pray you can just get to where you’re going in one piece.
Anyone who has been driving for any length of time has likely had this kind of moment. It’s scary and not the kind of environment one goes searching for. Today, many feel caught in this storm as the daily events in the U.S. and abroad continue challenging our status quo.
In the tempest of social, fiscal, and global uncertainty that seems to threaten our financial security, each of us has the opportunity to be a source of tranquility for ourselves and those we care about through simple daily choices. As financial stewards, keeping a level head and clear-sightedness is both our opportunity and responsibility to ensure we are making financial choices based on what we know versus reacting and creating permanent negative results to our thoughtfully constructed financial house.
It’s Your Choice. Choose Wisely.
The most “weather-resilient” investment strategies in the world are based upon observed data through decades. These observations support crafting a portfolio of investments – using both growth focused and more stable strategies – to accomplish your most important goals. Financial data and research tell us that these investment choices start with controlling what you can control. The smartest people we know do this through thoughtful diversification, targeting investments that have historically provided excess return to investors, while managing risk and costs.
Intelligent portfolio design also includes investing in companies from small to large and located in the US as well as abroad. At Sterling, we also target several other factors of strong portfolio design in client portfolios including:
- Value companies (low price-to-book ratios, high dividend yields, and lower price-to-earnings)
- High Profitability companies (stocks with high relative operating profits measured by operating profits divided by book equity)
- Small-Cap companies
Below is an illustration of how some of these different design factors have performed for investors over time. We illustrate below the performance of both U.S. and International stock markets as well as short term fixed income and the Consumer Price Index from November 1998 through February 2025. In grey, you will see highlighted the three recessions we have experienced in the U.S. during this time frame. Now, if you close your eyes and remember the times described below (the “Dot Com Bubble”, the “Great Recession”, COVID), you will recall that the world felt like it was caught in a deluge with no path forward. But hindsight is always 20/20. What felt like a fork in the road with neither path leading to a viable solution proved that indeed there was a path forward out of each of these storms. Time and time again, over the long-term span of an investor’s lifetime, the commitment to a growth allocation has historically shown positive returns.
Exhibit 1 – Global and Factor Annualized Returns from November 1998 to February 2025

Navigating Through the Storm
Investments are a necessary tool to build and fortify a solid foundation for your financial house. A financial plan tailored to your unique life provides clear guidance through both the sunniest of days and the darkest of nights. This plan both beckons and reminds you that in any storm there is a path forward. Not unlike the instrument panel a captain would rely on when the environment feels like the craft is going in the wrong direction, your financial life plan is your guide.
Throughout history, we have experienced (and not infrequently) ups and downs in the stock market. The events that spur market movements change from day to day and decade to decade, but the learning a savvy investor must take is this: market declines are messy but necessary for a healthy, functioning market. Strive to maintain the course.
Referring again to the graph above (Exhibit 1) notice that through some enormous storms, the long-term growth for stock investors has historically resulted in higher returns and growth of invested dollars. What history has shown us is that for investors, it’s about time in the market and not timing the market.
Be Great
As the Bard in Shakespeare’s Twelfth Night decried, “Some are born great, some achieve greatness, and some have greatness thrust upon them.” When you find yourself in the middle of a tempest, you have the opportunity to be great and steward financial stability for yourself and those you care about for generations to come. Our advice is to control what you can control and stay on course. We are here with you every step of the way.
Sources & Disclosures
2025 YCharts, Inc.
The information in this material is intended for the recipient’s background information and use only. It is provided in good faith and without any warranty or representation as to accuracy or completeness. Information and opinions presented in this material have been obtained or derived from sources believed by Sterling to be reliable, and Sterling has reasonable grounds to believe that all factual information herein is true as at the date of this material. It does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer of any services or products for sale and is not intended to provide a sufficient basis on which to make an investment decision. Before acting on any information in this document, you should consider whether it is appropriate for your particular circumstances and, if appropriate, seek professional advice. It is the responsibility of any persons wishing to make a purchase to inform themselves of and observe all applicable laws and regulations. Unauthorized reproduction or transmission of this material is strictly prohibited. Sterling accepts no responsibility for loss arising from the use of the information contained herein.
Risks: Investments involve risks. The investment return and principal value of an investment may fluctuate so that an investor’s shares, when redeemed, may be worth more or less than their original value. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. There is no guarantee strategies will be successful. Diversification neither assures a profit nor guarantees against loss in a declining market.