Navigating the Tempest

You’re caught driving in the middle of a ferocious storm. The windshield wipers are moving at a frenetic pace allowing you just a glimpse at the road ahead. You move slowly and intentionally forward, though it’s hard to even see the lines on the road alerting you to when you begin to veer out of your lane. White-knuckled, you pray you can just get to where you’re going in one piece. 

Anyone who has been driving for any length of time has likely had this kind of moment. It’s scary and not the kind of environment one goes searching for. Today, many feel caught in this storm as the daily events in the U.S. and abroad continue challenging our status quo.

In the tempest of social, fiscal, and global uncertainty that seems to threaten our financial security, each of us has the opportunity to be a source of tranquility for ourselves and those we care about through simple daily choices. As financial stewards, keeping a level head and clear-sightedness is both our opportunity and responsibility to ensure we are making financial choices based on what we know versus reacting and creating permanent negative results to our thoughtfully constructed financial house.

It’s Your Choice. Choose Wisely.

The most “weather-resilient” investment strategies in the world are based upon observed data through decades. These observations support crafting a portfolio of investments – using both growth focused and more stable strategies – to accomplish your most important goals. Financial data and research tell us that these investment choices start with controlling what you can control. The smartest people we know do this through thoughtful diversification, targeting investments that have historically provided excess return to investors, while managing risk and costs.

Intelligent portfolio design also includes investing in companies from small to large and located in the US as well as abroad. At Sterling, we also target several other factors of strong portfolio design in client portfolios including:

  • Value companies (low price-to-book ratios, high dividend yields, and lower price-to-earnings)
  • High Profitability companies (stocks with high relative operating profits measured by operating profits divided by book equity)
  • Small-Cap companies

Below is an illustration of how some of these different design factors have performed for investors over time. We illustrate below the performance of both U.S. and International stock markets as well as short term fixed income and the Consumer Price Index from November 1998 through February 2025. In grey, you will see highlighted the three recessions we have experienced in the U.S. during this time frame. Now, if you close your eyes and remember the times described below (the “Dot Com Bubble”, the “Great Recession”, COVID), you will recall that the world felt like it was caught in a deluge with no path forward. But hindsight is always 20/20. What felt like a fork in the road with neither path leading to a viable solution proved that indeed there was a path forward out of each of these storms.  Time and time again, over the long-term span of an investor’s lifetime, the commitment to a growth allocation has historically shown positive returns.

Exhibit 1 – Global and Factor Annualized Returns from November 1998 to February 2025

Navigating Through the Storm

Investments are a necessary tool to build and fortify a solid foundation for your financial house. A financial plan tailored to your unique life provides clear guidance through both the sunniest of days and the darkest of nights.  This plan both beckons and reminds you that in any storm there is a path forward. Not unlike the instrument panel a captain would rely on when the environment feels like the craft is going in the wrong direction, your financial life plan is your guide.

Throughout history, we have experienced (and not infrequently) ups and downs in the stock market. The events that spur market movements change from day to day and decade to decade, but the learning a savvy investor must take is this: market declines are messy but necessary for a healthy, functioning market. Strive to maintain the course.

Referring again to the graph above (Exhibit 1) notice that through some enormous storms, the long-term growth for stock investors has historically resulted in higher returns and growth of invested dollars. What history has shown us is that for investors, it’s about time in the market and not timing the market.

Be Great

As the Bard in Shakespeare’s Twelfth Night decried, “Some are born great, some achieve greatness, and some have greatness thrust upon them.” When you find yourself in the middle of a tempest, you have the opportunity to be great and steward financial stability for yourself and those you care about for generations to come. Our advice is to control what you can control and stay on course. We are here with you every step of the way.

Sources & Disclosures

2025 YCharts, Inc.

The information in this material is intended for the recipient’s background information and use only. It is provided in good faith and without any warranty or representation as to accuracy or completeness. Information and opinions presented in this material have been obtained or derived from sources believed by Sterling to be reliable, and Sterling has reasonable grounds to believe that all factual information herein is true as at the date of this material. It does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer of any services or products for sale and is not intended to provide a sufficient basis on which to make an investment decision. Before acting on any information in this document, you should consider whether it is appropriate for your particular circumstances and, if appropriate, seek professional advice. It is the responsibility of any persons wishing to make a purchase to inform themselves of and observe all applicable laws and regulations. Unauthorized reproduction or transmission of this material is strictly prohibited. Sterling accepts no responsibility for loss arising from the use of the information contained herein.

Risks: Investments involve risks. The investment return and principal value of an investment may fluctuate so that an investor’s shares, when redeemed, may be worth more or less than their original value. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. There is no guarantee strategies will be successful. Diversification neither assures a profit nor guarantees against loss in a declining market.

5 Key Steps to Creating a Digital Asset Plan

We carry ourselves in the palm of our hand.

In today’s world, our digital lives have expanded from simply an email account and online banking login to a virtual reality that we control from the phone we carry with us nearly everywhere. From online financial accounts and cryptocurrency to social media profiles, streaming services, travel loyalty programs and digital photos, our ever-expanding digital footprint requires attention in our estate plan.

The average person has over 90 online accounts, many containing valuable information, digital assets, or financial resources. Unlike physical assets that can be discovered during estate administration, digital assets may remain hidden without proper documentation and access instructions. Without proper planning, these assets can become inaccessible, lost forever, or vulnerable to identity theft after your death.

Important Factors to Consider in Digital Estate Planning

Provider Terms of Service

Most online platforms have Terms of Service agreements that often prohibit account transfers upon death. These agreements can create significant barriers for executors trying to access accounts, even with court orders.

Federal Laws

The Computer Fraud and Abuse Act (CFAA) and the Stored Communications Act (SCA) can criminalize unauthorized access to digital accounts, even by family members or executors. These laws were created to protect privacy but can complicate legitimate estate administration.

State Laws

The Revised Uniform Fiduciary Access to Digital Assets Act (RUFADAA), adopted by most states, provides a legal framework for fiduciary access to digital assets. However, implementation varies by state, and the law still generally gives priority to the service provider’s terms of service.

Steps to Take When Creating an Estate Plan for Digital Assets

  1. Create a Digital Asset Inventory

Develop a comprehensive inventory of your digital assets. For each account, document the platform name, username/email address used, and the purpose of the account. Be sure to store this inventory securely, updating it regularly.

  • Email accounts
  • Social media profiles
  • Financial accounts (banking, investment, cryptocurrency)
  • Subscription services (streaming, shopping, etc.)
  • Cloud storage accounts
  • Domain names and websites
  • Digital collections (music, books, photos)
  • Online gaming accounts
  • Loyalty program accounts
  1. Include Digital Directives in Legal Documents

When updating your estate planning documents, be sure to include specific digital directives. These should explicitly authorize your fiduciary to access, manage, modify, delete, and control your digital assets. We recommend discussing with your attorney about including this language in the following documents:

  • Will
  • Power of Attorney
  • Trust documents
  • Side Letter of instruction
  1. Store Digital Login Information Securely

While including passwords in your will isn’t recommended (as wills become public record when you pass away), consider using a password manager with an emergency access feature or creating a separate confidential document with access information. The location of this document and/or password manager login should be stored securely and shared with the individuals who will be your agents.

  1. Use Platform-Specific “Legacy Tools”

Many online platforms now offer legacy planning tools. These tools allow you to designate someone to manage or memorialize your accounts after death. Below are some of the more common platforms and the name of their specific tool. When you designate someone as your legacy contact, be sure to let them know.

  • Google’s Inactive Account Manager
  • Facebook’s Legacy Contact
  • Apple’s Digital Legacy program
  • Microsoft’s Inactive Account Manager
  • Instagram’s Memorialization settings
  1. Talk with Your Family

Have open conversations with family members about your digital asset inventory and your wishes for your digital accounts. If there are sentimental digital assets, like photos, messages or other content with sentimental value, be sure to let your loved ones know not just the “where”, but also the “why”. And don’t forget to make sure your executor knows where and how to access all of this important information!

Digital estate planning is no longer optional in our increasingly digital world. By taking proactive steps now, you can ensure your digital assets are managed according to your wishes, prevent identity theft, protect valuable or sentimental digital content, and save your loved ones from unnecessary stress and complications during an already difficult time. Review and update your digital estate plan regularly as your digital footprint evolves and as platforms and laws change.

Preparing for your digital afterlife today is truly an act of love. You provide clarity and peace of mind for those who will be managing this part of your life when you no longer can.

Social Security Fairness Act of 2023…Signed, Sealed & Delivered

Since the late 1970’s, Social Security retirement benefits have been reduced for many public sector retirees such as employees of public schools, police officers, firefighters, mail carriers, and many others. The Social Security Fairness Act of 2023 changes that. With the repeal of the Government Pension Offset (GPO) and the Windfall Elimination Provision (WEP), the Social Security Fairness Act is poised to increase retirement benefits for nearly 3 million currently retired public workers as well as millions of future retirees in the public sector.

President Joe Biden officially signed the Social Security Fairness Act of 2023 (H.R. 82) into law on Sunday, January 5th, 2025. This law will fully repeal the Windfall Elimination Provision, which affected individuals with non-covered pensions and fewer than 30 years of Social Security earnings, and the Government Pension Offset, which affected individuals with non-covered pensions who would otherwise be eligible to receive Social Security retirement or survivor’s benefits through a spouse or ex-spouse’s earnings record. The repeal of these two provisions will be retroactive to December 31, 2023.

What Does This Mean?

The repeal of WEP and GPO allows previously affected individuals to now receive their full Social Security benefit. According to the Congressional Budget Office (CBO), these changes are estimated to have the following impact:

  • Eliminating the Windfall Elimination Provision is estimated to increase the Social Security retirement benefits for more than 2 million affected retirees. The average anticipated increase is $360/month or $4,320/year.
  • Eliminating the Government Pension Offset is expected to raise benefits for nearly 400,000 retirees by an average of $700/month or $8,400/year who may be eligible to claim a spousal benefit based on a spouse or ex-spouse’s earnings history.
  • Nearly 200,000 affected widows and widowers are estimated to see their Social Security Survivor’s Benefits increase by an average of $1,190/month or $14,280/year.

What Should Affected Social Security Recipients Expect?

The Social Security Administration has provided guidance based on your current filing status.

  • If you have previously filed for Social Security benefits and they are partially or completely offset due to a public pension…
    • Verify that your current mailing address and direct deposit information is up to date by logging into your “my Social Security” account, calling, or visiting Social Security.
  • If you have not previously filed for Social Security benefits and are receiving a public pension…
    • You may file for benefits online at SSA.Gov/apply or schedule an appointment.

Even though the Social Security Administration is still evaluating how to implement the act, it is expected that affected individuals may receive a lump sum payment for any WEP or GPO reductions back-dated to 12/31/2023.

How Can Your Sterling Wealth Management Team Assist You?

If you believe that you or someone you care about may be affected by these changes, please don’t hesitate to reach out to the advisory team at Sterling. We can help you understand the benefits to which you may be entitled, identify any impact on your personal situation, and help you identify the appropriate next steps to ensure that you receive your full benefits. It’s our honor to help provide education and assistance to people you care about who may be impacted by these changes. Please don’t hesitate to reach out if we can be of assistance in this or any other matter in your financial life.



Sources

Folley, Aris. “Biden Signs Social Security Fairness Act into Law: What to Know.” The Hill, The Hill, 6 Jan. 2025, https://thehill.com/homenews/administration/5070259-social-security-benefits-expansion/

Higham, Aliss. “Social Security Update: Recipients to Get $4,320 in Backdated Payments.” Newsweek, Newsweek, 7 Jan. 2025, https://www.newsweek.com/social-security-update-recipients-backdated-payments-2010319

Konish, Lorie. “Biden Signs Bill to Increase Social Security Benefits for Millions of Public Workers.” CNBC, CNBC, 5 Jan. 2025, https://www.cnbc.com/2025/01/05/biden-signs-social-security-bill-to-increase-benefits-for-millions-of-public-workers.html

Social Security Administration Press Release. “Social Security Fairness Act: Windfall Elimination Provision (WEP) and Government Pension Offset (GPO) update, 6 January, 2025,  https://www.ssa.gov/benefits/retirement/social-security-fairness-act.html

Social Security Fairness Act of 2023 Heads to the President for Signature

The Social Security Fairness Bill (H.R. 82), introduced in January of 2023, has passed the Senate and House and is on the desk of President Biden awaiting his signature by year-end. While supporters and critics of the bill still have concerns as to how it would be funded over the long-term, it appears poised to be signed by the President having received largely bipartisan support in Congress.

This legislation is designed to eliminate the Windfall Elimination Provision (WEP) and Government Pension Offset (GPO). These two provisions currently reduce Social Security benefits for people with retirement from non-covered employers such as public-school educators, state university employees, police officers, firefighters, and many other local, state, and federal employees. If signed into law, this repeal will be effective as of December 2023. 

History of WEP and GPO 

In 1977 and 1983, Congress established the Government Pension Offset (GPO) and the Windfall Elimination Provisions (WEP) respectively to reduce Social Security benefits for individuals receiving retirement benefits from employers who were not required to withhold for Social Security taxes.  

The WEP provision applies to individuals with non-covered pensions who were employed for fewer than 30 years by a Social Security-covered job. The GPO provision reduces the benefits that would be received by spouses and widow(er)s of covered workers. Currently, the WEP reduces the Social Security benefits of 1.7 Million Americans and the GPO affects 420,000. Those who are critical of these policies state that the WEP and GPO over-correct the unintended windfall and disproportionately affect lower and more moderate-income retirees. Two-thirds of retirees affected by these two provisions were formerly employed by state or local government employees.

How Could This Bill Affect You?

Windfall Elimination Provision – If you are eligible to receive retirement benefits from a ‘non-covered’ employer and have at least 40 quarters of Social Security earnings history, your Social Security benefits may no longer be reduced.

Government Pension Offset – Married, Divorced (with a marriage of at least 10 years), and widow(er) individuals who are eligible to receive retirement benefits from a non-covered employer may be entitled to Social Security Spousal or Survivor Benefits.

What Should You Do If You Believe These Changes May Affect You?

Gather your information.

  • Start by creating your login with Social Security and downloading your most recent benefit estimate statement or your Social Security retirement statement at SSA.GOV.
  • Obtain information about your non-covered retirement benefits. If you are receiving benefits, what is the gross amount? If you are not yet receiving benefits, obtain a copy of a benefits estimate.
  • Contact the team at Sterling to discuss your unique situation and provide us with this updated information.

We will continue to keep you informed as information becomes available. Have a wonderful holiday season and a very happy new year!

Sources

2019, Springstead, Glenn R., The Social Security Windfall Elimination Provision: Issues and Replacement Alternatives, Social Security Bulletin, Vol. 79 No. 3, (https://www.ssa.gov/policy/docs/ssb/v79n3/v79n3p1.html#:~:text=Congress%20established%20the%20Windfall%20Elimination,pension%20income%20from%20noncovered%20employment).

2024 May, Social Security Program Explainers. Government Pension Offset & Windfall Elimination Provision, (https://www.ssa.gov/policy/docs/program-explainers/government-pension-offset.html#:~:text=Congress%20created%20the%20GPO%20in,earnings%20would%20be%20roughly%20equal).

2024 December, US Congressman Garret Graves Press Release, U.S. Senate Passes Graves-Spanberger Social Security Fairness Act to Eliminate the WEP & GPO, Sends Bill to President’s Desk to Provide Long Overdue Fairness to Police Officers, Firefighters, Educators, & Local & Governmental Employees, (https://garretgraves.house.gov/news/documentsingle.aspx?DocumentID=4136#:~:text=According%20to%20a%20nonpartisan%202024,the%20WEP%20and%20the%20GPO).

2024 December, H.R.82 – Social Security Fairness Act of 2023, https://www.congress.gov/bill/118th-congress/house-bill/82

4 Key Truths That Lead to Investing SUCCESS

Many of us have heard the phrase, “Luck favors the prepared.” I suggest a different idea:

SUCCESS favors the prepared.”

Every person defines success differently… whether it means the open doors of opportunity, personal accolades, a substantial financial foundation, wealth in the form of relationships. The one common theme among these varying definitions of success is the intentional planning and action required to realize that success. Strong relationships don’t materialize because you wish them to. They are the product of time invested in people. The same is true of a strong financial house. It is the product of intentional action toward stated financial goals. And that requires a thoughtful plan.

Core Elements of a Solid Plan

As wealth advisors, we have seen a fair number of financial plans. The most successful ones – the ones that withstand whatever is thrown at them – have a few commonalities:

  • Stated Measurable Goals
  • A Diversified Financial Foundation Built on a Disciplined Investment Strategy
  • Support from Experts to Assess & Develop Solutions to Key Challenges

It is exceptionally difficult to avoid all turmoil in life. Trials, tribulations, and unsteadiness are around us at every corner. Yet, success in our financial journey requires that we have a strategy to combat this turmoil and maintain resilience in the face of it.

During this particular season, the turmoil du jour is in the form of political uncertainty. Like many things in life, this challenge is merely a variation on an age-old theme: unchecked fear and anxiety over upsetting events can activate our most human instincts of “fight or flight”. When it comes to experiencing fear around investing – even the most seasoned investor can be moved to “flight” if their emotions take the driver’s seat. This is almost always to their financial peril and lasting regret. This is why it is important to have a disciplined investment strategy in place to guide and keep you seated throughout all market cycles.

Enter: The Disciplined Investment Strategy

“The first rule of compounding is to never interrupt it unnecessarily.” – Charlie Munger

TRUTH #1: Negative events cannot have lasting impact if your plan remains intact.

  • Your stated, measurable goals are the guiding light of your plan.
  • The plan is designed to aim toward your most important goals.
  • Once an investment plan is designed and implemented, it will work most effectively if you have the patience and discipline to stick with it.

TRUTH #2: Significant market declines are a normal and expected part of investing. Your disciplined investment strategy incorporates the expectation that market declines may be precipitous at times.

  • 1 in every 5 years since WWII, broad stock markets (as measured by the S&P 500) have declined an average of nearly 30%, so we expect stock markets to go down roughly 30% every 5 years.
  • Three times in the last 50 years, markets have declined by about 50%.
  • The stock market has compounded at 10.7% per year since January 1973.

Our conclusion? Broad market declines are temporary (and necessary) for long-term advances.

TRUTH #3: Historically, it has been far more fruitful for long-term growth to be an owner versus a lender.

  • To be an investor in the stock of a company is to be an owner. To be an investor in the bonds of a company is to be a lender.
  • Historically, long-term investors have been rewarded for taking on the risk that comes with stock ownership. Owners of companies have compounded their wealth at rates that far outpace those that lenders have grown their wealth. For example, over the last two decades $10,000 invested in the US Stock Market (via the Russell 3000) would have grown to $51,870 versus an investment in US Bonds (via the US Bloomberg Aggregate Bond Index) that would have grown to only $18,860. That’s nearly three times the growth!

TRUTH #4: Prepare to be an opportunist, not a victim.

  • If we know that market declines are a part of investing, come regularly, and are planned for, the smart investment strategy provides for an approach that capitalizes on the opportunity a down market provides.
  • Historically, the stock market’s very best days come very quickly on the heels of the worst and most highly panicked days.
  • As institutional investors, we understand that there are greater factors at play when the market moves. We are able to help our clients maintain their disciplined strategy because we see the playing field without emotion. Our approach has planned for these times and see them as opportunities to buy shares of the good companies when they are ‘on sale’.

How does one experience a successful financial life journey? Preparation.

And your Sterling Team is here with you all along the way providing expert guidance, solutions and collaboration. Thank you for being part of our family.